Amarissa Kiara Toth vs Ekaterina Kazionova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Over the past six months, Toth and Kazionova have nearly identical second serve win rates, with Toth at 38.44% and Kazionova at 38.42%. Is this enough to sway predictions? It seems the margin is negligible here.
• Return Game Statistics: In recent form, Kazionova excels slightly more in winning points off the opponent's second serve at 52.44%, compared to Toth's 49.46%. However, Toth leads in first serve returns at 40.33%, as opposed to Kazionova's 35.2%. Which return performance might decide the match?
• Pressure Handling: With Toth saving 47.55% of breakpoints and Kazionova close behind at 46.12%, this could point to both being quite resilient under pressure.
• Match Performance: Over the last year, Toth has had a higher win rate of 71.62% compared to Kazionova's 57.53%. Clearly, Toth has been more successful overall.
• Surface Advantage: Toth excels on Clay with a 68% win rate, while Kazionova prefers Indoor Hardcourts with a 62% win rate. Could the choice of playing surface be pivotal?
• Event Level Comparison: Toth has performed better in higher-stakes Challengers/ITF tournaments with a 71.21% success rate, compared to Kazionova's 58.21%. Does experience at a higher level give Toth an edge?
• Opponent Quality Faced: Toth's opponents have had an average rank of 393.14, while Kazionova faced slightly more challenging opponents with an average rank of 386.41.
• Deciding Set Performance: Kazionova has a significant edge in deciding sets with a 71% win rate, over Toth's 40%. If it comes to a final set, Kazionova might be favored.
• Break Point Conversion: Both players have similar recent breakpoint conversion rates, Toth at 39.06% and Kazionova at 38.68%. How critical will these opportunities be in influencing the result?

Editorial Prediction (August 20, 2025, UTC):

Toth shows slightly stronger overall match performance with a significant higher win rate over the last year, which stands at 71.62% compared to Kazionova's 57.53%. This suggests Toth's consistency and capability to convert matches into victories.

Kazionova's ability to win deciding sets could be crucial, especially in a tight match. Her substantial edge with a 71% win rate in such scenarios indicates mental toughness and resilience when under strain.

Both players show similar performance in second serve and breakpoint conversion, which makes the prediction less clear-cut.

Given these observations, Toth seems to have a marginal edge in overall performance and adaptability in varied tournament contexts. However, Kazionova's mental strength in critical moments makes her a formidable opponent.

We predict Toth is slightly more likely to emerge victorious in this upcoming match, though it is anticipated to be closely contested.